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Bedri Baykam

POLITICAL SITUATION IN TURKEY AFTER THE ELECTIONS OF June 7, 2015

09.06.2015

My dear friend,

I wanted to you know about the outcome of the general elections that happened yesterday in Turkey, the 7th of June 2015. Before my comments here are the unofficial results:

PARTY

VOTE

VOTE %

DEPUTIES

AKP

18.707.863

40,86%

258

CHP

11.473.915

25,06%

132

MHP

7.494.976

16,37%

80

HDP

5.985.316

13.07%

79

 

AKP the party that has been ruling Turkey for the past 13 years has lost the majority of seats, which stands at 276. The other important point is the entry in the parliament of a fourth-political group, the party close to the Kurdish interests, the HDP that took more votes 13,07% than the required 10% threshold. The Turkish nationalists gained about 3 points while the social democrat CHP almost stood at the same position (Their 2011 result was 25,98%).

Of course the fact that Erdoğan’s AKP has lost the majority, is a big relief for the Turkish democracy. Islamic-fascism dangerously and speedfully grew in Turkey, especially during the second half of the 13 years, has thus received a severe blow. Now Turkish journalists and intellectuals can try to take a deeper breath!

Some of the social democrat voters have chosen the vote for the Kurds’ HDP to ensure them passing the 10% threshold. This is talked about in Turkish political scene as “borrowed” votes.

During the whole campaign taking a stand totally against his oath, the President Erdoğan had been overtly campaigning for the AKP, an action that received huge protests from the opposition parties and harsh criticisms from the free journalists. I refer to “free journalists “ as the ones who write in the opposition press which are newspapers such as the one I wrote for, Cumhuriyet, Sözcü, Yurt, Aydınlık, Birgün. Those newspapers political position varies between Kemalist, social democrat, socialist or pro-Kurdish to a certain extent.

Among the people elected to the parliament from the CHP, you can find names like Mustafa Balbay, Tuncay Özkan and Dursun Çiçek who had been in jail for 5 to 6 years during the undemocratic court cases against the Kemalist writers or the army, between 2008-2014

What s going to happen next? There stands the question.  The actual president of AKP, Ahmet Davutoğlu, which unfortunately and unlawfully receives orders from Erdoğan, will get the “job” of trying to gather a coalition. However this duty seems very hard to perform, because all the three opposition parties have almost fully openly declared that they would not enter a coalition with the AKP. So if Davutoğlu is unsuccessful, normally Erdoğan should give this duty to the president of CHP, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu. Although all the traditions of Turkey point in that direction, Erdoğan in his very in unconstitutional behavior pattern, might surprisingly take a different position!
 
Again what can happen next? There might be a non-majority government taking Turkey to a new election, in some very near future if the system is blocked.

All this might seen complicated but just remember this: things are much better in Turkey on this 8 of June 2015. As opposed to the 6th of June 2015, two days ago!

Thanks for your interest, hope to give you even better news in the near future.